Predictors of Rapid Aortic Root Dilation and Referral for Aortic Surgery in Marfan Syndrome. Pediatr Cardiol 2018 Oct;39(7):1453-1461
Date
06/28/2018Pubmed ID
29948025Pubmed Central ID
PMC6150800DOI
10.1007/s00246-018-1916-6Scopus ID
2-s2.0-85048363601 (requires institutional sign-in at Scopus site) 11 CitationsAbstract
Few data exist regarding predictors of rapid aortic root dilation and referral for aortic surgery in Marfan syndrome (MFS). To identify independent predictors of the rate of aortic root (AoR) dilation and referral for aortic surgery, we investigated the data from the Pediatric Heart Network randomized trial of atenolol versus losartan in young patients with MFS. Data were analyzed from the echocardiograms at 0, 12, 24, and 36 months read in the core laboratory of 608 trial subjects, aged 6 months to 25 years, who met original Ghent criteria and had an AoR z-score (AoRz) > 3. Repeated measures linear and logistic regressions were used to determine multivariable predictors of AoR dilation. Receiver operator characteristic curves were used to determine cut-points in AoR dilation predicting referral for aortic surgery. Multivariable analysis showed rapid AoR dilation as defined by change in AoRz/year > 90th percentile was associated with older age, higher sinotubular junction z-score, and atenolol use (R2 = 0.01) or by change in AoR diameter (AoRd)/year > 90th percentile with higher sinotubular junction z-score and non-white race (R2 = 0.02). Referral for aortic root surgery was associated with higher AoRd, higher ascending aorta z-score, and higher sinotubular junction diameter:ascending aorta diameter ratio (R2 = 0.17). Change in AoRz of 0.72 SD units/year had 42% sensitivity and 92% specificity and change in AoRd of 0.34 cm/year had 38% sensitivity and 95% specificity for predicting referral for aortic surgery. In this cohort of young patients with MFS, no new robust predictors of rapid AoR dilation or referral for aortic root surgery were identified. Further investigation may determine whether generalized proximal aortic dilation and effacement of the sinotubular junction will allow for better risk stratification. Rate of AoR dilation cut-points had high specificity, but low sensitivity for predicting referral for aortic surgery, limiting their clinical use. Clinical Trial Number ClinicalTrials.gov number, NCT00429364.
Author List
Hoskoppal A, Menon S, Trachtenberg F, Burns KM, De Backer J, Gelb BD, Gleason M, James J, Lai WW, Liou A, Mahony L, Olson AK, Pyeritz RE, Sharkey AM, Stylianou M, Wechsler SB, Young L, Levine JC, Tierney ESS, Lacro RV, Bradley TJ, Pediatric Heart Network InvestigatorsMESH terms used to index this publication - Major topics in bold
AdolescentAdult
Angiotensin II Type 1 Receptor Blockers
Antihypertensive Agents
Aorta
Aortic Diseases
Atenolol
Child
Child, Preschool
Dilatation
Echocardiography
Female
Humans
Infant
Losartan
Male
Marfan Syndrome
ROC Curve
Referral and Consultation
Risk Assessment
Risk Factors
Vascular Surgical Procedures
Young Adult