Faculty Collaboration Database

Can hepatic resection provide a long-term cure for patients with intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma? Cancer 2015 Nov 15;121(22):3998-4006

Date

08/13/2015

Pubmed ID

26264223

DOI

10.1002/cncr.29619

Scopus ID

2-s2.0-84946491620 (requires institutional sign-in at Scopus site)   155 Citations

Abstract

BACKGROUND: A patient can be considered statistically cured from a specific disease when their mortality rate returns to the same level as that of the general population. In the current study, the authors sought to assess the probability of being statistically cured from intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma (ICC) by hepatic resection.

METHODS: A total of 584 patients who underwent surgery with curative intent for ICC between 1990 and 2013 at 1 of 12 participating institutions were identified. A nonmixture cure model was adopted to compare mortality after hepatic resection with the mortality expected for the general population matched by sex and age.

RESULTS: The median, 1-year, 3-year, and 5-year disease-free survival was 10 months, 44%, 18%, and 11%, respectively; the corresponding overall survival was 27 months, 75%, 37%, and 22%, respectively. The probability of being cured of ICC was 9.7% (95% confidence interval, 6.1%-13.4%). The mortality of patients undergoing surgery for ICC was higher than that of the general population until year 10, at which time patients alive without tumor recurrence can be considered cured with 99% certainty. Multivariate analysis demonstrated that cure probabilities ranged from 25.8% (time to cure, 9.8 years) in patients with a single, well-differentiated ICC measuring ≤5 cm that was without vascular/periductal invasion and lymph nodes metastases versus <0.1% (time to cure, 12.6 years) among patients with all 6 of these risk factors. A model with which to calculate cure fraction and time to cure was developed.

CONCLUSIONS: The cure model indicated that statistical cure was possible in patients undergoing hepatic resection for ICC. The overall probability of cure was approximately 10% and varied based on several tumor-specific factors. Cancer 2015;121:3998-4006. © 2015 American Cancer Society.

Author List

Spolverato G, Vitale A, Cucchetti A, Popescu I, Marques HP, Aldrighetti L, Gamblin TC, Maithel SK, Sandroussi C, Bauer TW, Shen F, Poultsides GA, Marsh JW, Pawlik TM

Author

Thomas Clark Gamblin MD Professor in the Surgery department at Medical College of Wisconsin

MESH terms used to index this publication - Major topics in bold

Aged
Bile Duct Neoplasms
Cholangiocarcinoma
Female
Hepatectomy
Humans
Lymphatic Metastasis
Male
Middle Aged