Economic and demographic trends signal an impending physician shortage. Health Aff (Millwood) 2002;21(1):140-54
Date
03/20/2002Pubmed ID
11900066DOI
10.1377/hlthaff.21.1.140Scopus ID
2-s2.0-0013125073 (requires institutional sign-in at Scopus site) 386 CitationsAbstract
It is widely believed that the United States is producing too many physicians. We have approached this issue by developing a new model for workforce planning based on assessments of the macrotrends that underlie the supply and use of physician services. These trends include economic expansion, population growth, physicians' work effort, and the provision of services by nonphysician clinicians. Contrary to earlier predictions, this model projects that the United States soon will have a shortage of physicians and that if the pace of medical education remains unchanged, the shortage will become more severe. A dialogue focused on that eventuality is imperative.
Author List
Cooper RA, Getzen TE, McKee HJ, Laud PAuthor
Purushottam W. Laud PhD Professor in the Institute for Health and Equity department at Medical College of WisconsinMESH terms used to index this publication - Major topics in bold
DemographyForecasting
Health Services Needs and Demand
Models, Econometric
Physicians
United States
