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Prognostic factors in children and adolescents with acute myeloid leukemia (excluding children with Down syndrome and acute promyelocytic leukemia): univariate and recursive partitioning analysis of patients treated on Pediatric Oncology Group (POG) Study 8821. Leukemia 2000 Jul;14(7):1201-7



Pubmed ID





The purpose of the paper was to define clinical or biological features associated with the risk for treatment failure for children with acute myeloid leukemia. Data from 560 children and adolescents with newly diagnosed acute myeloid leukemia who entered the Pediatric Oncology Group Study 8821 from June 1988 to March 1993 were analyzed by univariate and recursive partitioning methods. Children with Down syndrome or acute promyelocytic leukemia were excluded from the study. Factors examined included age, number of leukocytes, sex, FAB morphologic subtype, cytogenetic findings, and extramedullary disease at the time of diagnosis. The overall event-free survival (EFS) rate at 4 years was 32.7% (s.e. = 2.2%). Age > or =2 years, fewer than 50 x 10(9)/I leukocytes, and t(8;21) or inv(16), and normal chromosomes were associated with higher rates of EFS (P value = 0.003, 0.049, 0.0003, 0.031, respectively), whereas the M5 subtype of AML (P value = 0.0003) and chromosome abnormalities other than t(8;21) and inv(16) were associated with lower rates of EFS (P value = 0.0001). Recursive partitioning analysis defined three groups of patients with widely varied prognoses: female patients with t(8;21), inv(16), or a normal karyotype (n = 89) had the best prognosis (4-year EFS = 55.1%, s.e. = 5.7%); male patients with t(8;21), inv(16) or normal chromosomes (n = 106) had an intermediate prognosis (4-year EFS = 38.1%, s.e. = 5.3%); patients with chromosome abnormalities other than t(8;21) and inv(16) (n = 233) had the worst prognosis (4-year EFS = 27.0%, s.e. = 3.2%). One hundred and thirty-two patients (24%) could not be grouped because of missing cytogenetic data, mainly due to inadequate marrow samples. The results suggest that pediatric patients with acute myeloid leukemia can be categorized into three potential risk groups for prognosis and that differences in sex and chromosomal abnormalities are associated with differences in estimates of EFS. These results are tentative and must be confirmed by a large prospective clinical trial.

Author List

Chang M, Raimondi SC, Ravindranath Y, Carroll AJ, Camitta B, Gresik MV, Steuber CP, Weinstein H


Bruce M. Camitta MD Clinical Professor in the Medicine department at Medical College of Wisconsin

MESH terms used to index this publication - Major topics in bold

Analysis of Variance
Antineoplastic Combined Chemotherapy Protocols
Bone Marrow Transplantation
Chromosome Aberrations
Chromosome Inversion
Chromosomes, Human
Cohort Studies
Combined Modality Therapy
Disease-Free Survival
Follow-Up Studies
Leukemia, Myeloid
Life Tables
Multicenter Studies as Topic
Proportional Hazards Models
Randomized Controlled Trials as Topic
Remission Induction
Risk Assessment
Risk Factors
Survival Analysis
Translocation, Genetic
Treatment Failure
Treatment Outcome
United States
jenkins-FCD Prod-409 d1e206b0be345926047b0d9c353c78a4cce4058b