Medical College of Wisconsin
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Economic and demographic trends signal an impending physician shortage. Health Aff (Millwood) 2002 Jan-Feb;21(1):140-54 PMID: 11900066

Pubmed ID



It is widely believed that the United States is producing too many physicians. We have approached this issue by developing a new model for workforce planning based on assessments of the macrotrends that underlie the supply and use of physician services. These trends include economic expansion, population growth, physicians' work effort, and the provision of services by nonphysician clinicians. Contrary to earlier predictions, this model projects that the United States soon will have a shortage of physicians and that if the pace of medical education remains unchanged, the shortage will become more severe. A dialogue focused on that eventuality is imperative.

Author List

Cooper RA, Getzen TE, McKee HJ, Laud P


Purushottam W. Laud PhD Professor in the Institute for Health and Equity department at Medical College of Wisconsin


2-s2.0-0013125073   357 Citations

MESH terms used to index this publication - Major topics in bold

Health Services Needs and Demand
Models, Econometric
United States
jenkins-FCD Prod-321 98992d628744e349846c2f62ac68f241d7e1ea70