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Prevalence and correlates of pre-diabetes in Sub-Saharan Africa using Demographic and Health Survey Data: a cross-sectional study. BMJ Open 2023 Oct 18;13(10):e069640

Date

10/19/2023

Pubmed ID

37852767

Pubmed Central ID

PMC10603485

DOI

10.1136/bmjopen-2022-069640

Scopus ID

2-s2.0-85174750777 (requires institutional sign-in at Scopus site)

Abstract

OBJECTIVE: The objective is to investigate the prevalence of pre-diabetes in Namibia and South Africa and to determine sociodemographic correlates of disease using population data.

DESIGN: Cross-sectional study.

SETTING: Demographic and Health Survey for emerging (Namibia) and established (South Africa) economies in Sub-Saharan Africa collected laboratory data that allowed determination of pre-diabetes status.

PARTICIPANTS: 3141 adults over age 18 from the 2013 Namibia survey, weighted to a population of 2176, and 4964 adults over age 18 from the 2016 South Africa survey, weighted to a population of 4627 had blood glucose/glycated haemoglobin (HbA1c) and diabetes information were included in the analysis.

OUTCOME MEASURES: Pre-diabetes was defined as not being diagnosed with diabetes and having a blood sugar measurement of 100-125 mg/dL in Namibia or an HbA1c measurement of 5.7%-6.4%. Logistic models were run for each country separately, with pre-diabetes as the outcome and a series of sociodemographic variables (age, gender, urban/rural residence, number of children, employment status, wealth index, education level, and ethnicity (in South Africa) or religion (in Namibia)) entered as variables to investigate the independent relationship of each.

RESULTS: The weighted prevalence of pre-diabetes was 18.7% in Namibia and 70.1% in South Africa. Rural residence was independently associated with higher odds of pre-diabetes in Namibia (1.47, 95% CI 1.05 to 2.06), while both younger age (0.98, 95% CI 0.97 to 0.99) and urban residence (0.80, 95% CI 0.66 to 0.99) were independently associated with odds of pre-diabetes in South Africa.

CONCLUSIONS: The prevalence of pre-diabetes was 18.7% in Namibia and 70.1% in South Africa. Correlates of pre-diabetes differed between the two countries with rural residents having higher odds of pre-diabetes in Namibia and urban residents with higher odds in South Africa. Aggressive interventions, including population level education and awareness programmes, and individual level education and lifestyle interventions that account for country-specific contextual factors are urgently needed to prevent progression to diabetes.

Author List

Walker RJ, Thorgerson AM, Yan A, Williams JS, Campbell JA, Dawson AZ, Renta V, Egede LE

Authors

Jennifer Annette Campbell PhD, MPH Assistant Professor in the Medicine department at Medical College of Wisconsin
Aprill Z. Dawson PhD, MPH Assistant Professor in the Medicine department at Medical College of Wisconsin
Leonard E. Egede MD Center Director, Chief, Professor in the Medicine department at Medical College of Wisconsin
Rebekah Walker PhD Associate Professor in the Medicine department at Medical College of Wisconsin
Joni Williams MD, MPH Associate Professor in the Medicine department at Medical College of Wisconsin




MESH terms used to index this publication - Major topics in bold

Adolescent
Adult
Child
Cross-Sectional Studies
Diabetes Mellitus
Humans
Prediabetic State
Prevalence
South Africa