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Abdominal aortic calcium, coronary artery calcium, and cardiovascular morbidity and mortality in the Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis. Arterioscler Thromb Vasc Biol 2014 Jul;34(7):1574-9

Date

05/09/2014

Pubmed ID

24812323

Pubmed Central ID

PMC4153597

DOI

10.1161/ATVBAHA.114.303268

Scopus ID

2-s2.0-84903183871 (requires institutional sign-in at Scopus site)   96 Citations

Abstract

OBJECTIVE: To evaluate the predictive value of abdominal aortic calcium (AAC) for incident cardiovascular disease (CVD) independent of coronary artery calcium (CAC).

APPROACH AND RESULTS: We evaluated the association of AAC with CVD in 1974 men and women aged 45 to 84 years randomly selected from the Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis participants who had complete AAC and CAC data from computed tomographic scans. AAC and CAC were each divided into following 3 percentile categories: 0 to 50th, 51st to 75th, and 76th to 100th. During a mean of 5.5 years of follow-up, there were 50 hard coronary heart disease events, 83 hard CVD events, 30 fatal CVD events, and 105 total deaths. In multivariable-adjusted Cox models including both AAC and CAC, comparing the fourth quartile with the ≤ 50th percentile, AAC and CAC were each significantly and independently predictive of hard coronary heart disease and hard CVD, with hazard ratios ranging from 2.4 to 4.4. For CVD mortality, the hazard ratio was highly significant for the fourth quartile of AAC, 5.9 (P=0.01), whereas the association for the fourth quartile of CAC (hazard ratio, 2.1) was not significant. For total mortality, the fourth quartile hazard ratio for AAC was 2.7 (P=0.001), and for CAC, it was 1.9, P=0.04. Area under the receiver operating characteristic curve analyses showed improvement for both AAC and CAC separately, although improvement was greater with CAC for hard coronary heart disease and hard CVD, and greater with AAC for CVD mortality and total mortality. Sensitivity analyses defining AAC and CAC as continuous variables mirrored these results.

CONCLUSIONS: AAC and CAC predicted hard coronary heart disease and hard CVD events independent of one another. Only AAC was independently related to CVD mortality, and AAC showed a stronger association than CAC with total mortality.

Author List

Criqui MH, Denenberg JO, McClelland RL, Allison MA, Ix JH, Guerci A, Cohoon KP, Srikanthan P, Watson KE, Wong ND

Author

Kevin Cohoon DO Assistant Professor in the Medicine department at Medical College of Wisconsin




MESH terms used to index this publication - Major topics in bold

Aged
Aged, 80 and over
Aorta, Abdominal
Aortic Diseases
Aortography
Calcium
Coronary Angiography
Coronary Artery Disease
Coronary Vessels
Female
Humans
Kaplan-Meier Estimate
Male
Middle Aged
Multivariate Analysis
Predictive Value of Tests
Prognosis
Proportional Hazards Models
Prospective Studies
Risk Factors
Time Factors
Tomography, X-Ray Computed
United States
Vascular Calcification