Medical College of Wisconsin
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Preoperative predictors of choledocholithiasis in patients presenting with acute calculous cholecystitis. Gastrointest Endosc 2019 May;89(5):977-983.e2

Date

11/23/2018

Pubmed ID

30465770

DOI

10.1016/j.gie.2018.11.017

Scopus ID

2-s2.0-85060100924 (requires institutional sign-in at Scopus site)   29 Citations

Abstract

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Markedly increased liver chemistries in patients presenting with acute calculous cholecystitis (AC) often prompt an evaluation for concomitant choledocholithiasis (CDL). However, current guidelines directing the workup for CDL fail to address this unique population. The aims of this study are to define the range of presenting laboratory values and imaging findings in AC, develop a model to predict the presence of concurrent CDL, and develop a management algorithm that can be easily applied on presentation.

METHODS: We conducted a retrospective review of patients presenting with AC to a large tertiary hospital over a 3.5-year period. CDL was defined as common bile duct (CBD) stone(s), sludge, or debris seen on any of the following studies: US, CT, magnetic resonance imaging/MRCP, EUS, ERCP, or intraoperative cholangiogram. A multivariable model to predict CDL was developed on 70% of the patients and validated on the remaining 30%.

RESULTS: A total of 366 patients were identified and 65 (17.8%) had concurrent CDL. Univariable analysis was used to predict CDL and demonstrated statistically significant odds ratios for transaminases >3 times the upper limit of normal, alkaline phosphatase (AlkPhos) above normal, lipase >3 times the upper limit of normal, total bilirubin ≥1.8 mg/dL, and CBD diameter >6 mm. In the validation cohort, an optimal model containing alanine transaminase (ALT) >3 times the upper limit of normal, abnormal AlkPhos, and CBD diameter >6 mm was found to have an area under the receiver operating curve of 0.91. When 0 or 1 risk factors were present, 98.6% of patients did not have CDL. When all 3 risk factors were present, 77.8% were found to have CDL.

CONCLUSIONS: The prevalence of CDL is high among patients with AC. When a validated model is used, application of cutoffs for ALT, AlkPhos, and CBD diameter can effectively triage patients with low and high likelihood for CDL to surgery or ERCP, respectively.

Author List

Chisholm PR, Patel AH, Law RJ, Schulman AR, Bedi AO, Kwon RS, Wamsteker EJ, Anderson MA, Elta GH, Govani SM, Prabhu A

Author

Phillip Chisholm MD Assistant Professor in the Medicine department at Medical College of Wisconsin




MESH terms used to index this publication - Major topics in bold

Academic Medical Centers
Adult
Age Factors
Aged
Algorithms
Analysis of Variance
Cholangiopancreatography, Endoscopic Retrograde
Cholangiopancreatography, Magnetic Resonance
Cholecystectomy
Cholecystitis, Acute
Choledocholithiasis
Cohort Studies
Comorbidity
Female
Humans
Liver Function Tests
Logistic Models
Male
Middle Aged
Multivariate Analysis
Predictive Value of Tests
Preoperative Care
Prognosis
Retrospective Studies
Risk Assessment
Severity of Illness Index
Sex Factors
Treatment Outcome
United States