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A nomogram predicting the need for bleeding interventions after high-grade renal trauma: Results from the American Association for the Surgery of Trauma Multi-institutional Genito-Urinary Trauma Study (MiGUTS). J Trauma Acute Care Surg 2019 05;86(5):774-782

Date

02/12/2019

Pubmed ID

30741884

DOI

10.1097/TA.0000000000002222

Scopus ID

2-s2.0-85065069715   6 Citations

Abstract

BACKGROUND: The management of high-grade renal trauma (HGRT) and the indications for intervention are not well defined. The American Association for the Surgery of Trauma (AAST) renal grading does not incorporate some important clinical and radiologic variables associated with increased risk of interventions. We aimed to use data from a multi-institutional contemporary cohort to develop a nomogram predicting risk of interventions for bleeding after HGRT.

METHODS: From 2014 to 2017, data on adult HGRT (AAST grades III-V) were collected from 14 level 1 trauma centers. Patients with both clinical and radiologic data were included. Data were gathered on demographics, injury characteristics, management, and outcomes. Clinical and radiologic parameters, obtained after trauma evaluation, were used to predict renal bleeding interventions. We developed a prediction model by applying backward model selection to a logistic regression model and built a nomogram using the selected model.

RESULTS: A total of 326 patients met the inclusion criteria. Mechanism of injury was blunt in 81%. Median age and injury severity score were 28 years and 22, respectively. Injuries were reported as AAST grades III (60%), IV (33%), and V (7%). Overall, 47 (14%) underwent interventions for bleeding control including 19 renal angioembolizations, 16 nephrectomies, and 12 other procedures. Of the variables included in the nomogram, a hematoma size of 12 cm contributed the most points, followed by penetrating trauma mechanism, vascular contrast extravasation, pararenal hematoma extension, concomitant injuries, and shock. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve was 0.83 (95% confidence interval, 0.81-0.85).

CONCLUSION: We developed a nomogram that integrates multiple clinical and radiologic factors readily available upon assessment of patients with HGRT and can provide predicted probability for bleeding interventions. This nomogram may help in guiding appropriate management of HGRT and decreasing unnecessary interventions.

LEVEL OF EVIDENCE: Prognostic and epidemiological study, level III.

Author List

Keihani S, Rogers DM, Putbrese BE, Moses RA, Zhang C, Presson AP, Hotaling JM, Nirula R, Luo-Owen X, Mukherjee K, Morris BJ, Majercik S, Piotrowski J, Dodgion CM, Schwartz I, Elliott SP, DeSoucy ES, Zakaluzny S, Sherwood BG, Erickson BA, Baradaran N, Breyer BN, Smith BP, Okafor BU, Askari R, Miller B, Santucci RA, Carrick MM, Kocik JF, Hewitt T, Burks FN, Heilbrun ME, Myers JB, in conjunction with the Trauma and Urologic Reconstruction Network of Surgeons

Author

Christopher M. Dodgion MD Associate Professor in the Surgery department at Medical College of Wisconsin




MESH terms used to index this publication - Major topics in bold

Adult
Female
Hemorrhage
Humans
Injury Severity Score
Kidney
Kidney Diseases
Male
Middle Aged
Nomograms
Risk Assessment
Trauma Centers
Treatment Outcome
United States
Wounds, Nonpenetrating
Wounds, Stab
Young Adult